Morgan Twp
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #30
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #3
Chesterton Regional Rank #2
Rensselaer Central Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 20th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.4%
Advance to State Finals 88.5%
Advance to Semi-State 99.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rich Jay Invitational Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Rensselaer Central Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/10 9/17 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 396 372 593 422 379 469 398 379 425
Team Adjusted Rating 372 573 422 379 469 398 379 425
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rich Jay Invitational Eagle Classic New Prairie Invitational Rensselaer Central Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
33  Peyton Bucher 9 19:04 19:12 20:29 19:18 19:24 20:03 19:32 19:22 18:56
124  Emersyn Bland 11 19:55 21:00 19:41 20:25 19:15 19:44 20:25 19:50 19:59 20:15
139  Dana Abbring 10 20:01 20:14 20:15 21:44 20:00 20:01 20:27 20:03 19:50 20:00
356  Isabella Bryan 9 21:01 20:58 21:51 21:30 20:54 20:40 21:06 20:50 21:28
537  Vanessa Parsons 10 21:31 21:50 21:07 21:55 21:56 21:49 21:11 21:20 21:45
547  Audrey Rakowski 9 21:32 21:10 21:09 21:46 21:16 22:36 22:09 21:43 21:23
681  Megan Beaver 11 21:57 21:45 21:32 22:46 21:59 22:01 22:08 22:33 22:03 21:47
1,236  Ava Cowger 9 23:14 22:32 22:50 23:22 23:29
1,245  Maria Lemmons 12 23:16 22:10 23:04 23:34 24:03 22:18




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 88.5% 19.2 442 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.3 2.1 3.1 4.8 7.1 10.2 12.6 14.7 13.7 10.2 5.4 1.7
Semi-State 99.9% 4.0 165 0.9 26.2 22.3 17.5 13.0 8.7 5.1 3.4 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.6 81 1.4 56.0 27.4 11.4 3.7 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.1 26 91.4 8.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peyton Bucher 99.4% 34.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.7 95.0% 99.3%
Emersyn Bland 88.6% 100.7 0.3% 20.4%
Dana Abbring 88.6% 109.3 0.2% 11.9%
Isabella Bryan 88.5% 175.1 0.0% 0.0%
Vanessa Parsons 88.5% 190.7 0.0% 0.0%
Audrey Rakowski 88.5% 191.1 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Beaver 88.5% 199.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peyton Bucher 100% 5.3 0.0 0.4 4.6 14.8 24.9 16.7 12.2 8.8 6.1 3.9 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Emersyn Bland 100% 23.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.3 3.6 3.7 4.6 4.2 4.2 4.6 4.7 4.4 4.1 4.3 100.0% 100.0%
Dana Abbring 100% 27.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.3 3.7 3.7 3.8 4.1 4.1 4.2 100.0% 100.0%
Isabella Bryan 100% 71.2 100.0% 99.6%
Vanessa Parsons 99.9% 96.6 50.0% 83.2%
Audrey Rakowski 100.0% 97.1 58.3% 81.8%
Megan Beaver 99.9% 116.0 8.3% 34.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peyton Bucher 100% 2.9 0.2 7.4 45.4 21.0 19.6 4.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Emersyn Bland 100% 9.3 0.0 0.5 1.1 6.5 9.7 13.4 15.2 13.4 11.8 9.2 7.0 4.8 2.9 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Dana Abbring 100% 10.5 0.2 0.5 3.1 5.9 9.3 12.0 12.7 13.3 11.4 9.6 7.0 5.2 3.3 2.4 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Isabella Bryan 100% 25.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.8 4.7 5.9 7.3 9.6 9.8 100.0%
Vanessa Parsons 100% 33.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 100.0%
Audrey Rakowski 100% 34.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 100.0%
Megan Beaver 100% 40.2 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Peyton Bucher 1.0 99.7 0.2 0.1
Emersyn Bland 2.2 0.0 43.3 29.1 15.9 8.4 2.8 0.5 0.0
Dana Abbring 2.8 0.0 24.2 33.6 20.6 14.3 5.9 1.4 0.1
Isabella Bryan 8.1 0.2 1.0 4.6 12.9 28.8 37.3 13.1 1.8 0.3 0.0
Vanessa Parsons 10.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 5.4 21.7 30.6 26.1 10.1 3.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Audrey Rakowski 10.8 0.2 1.0 4.9 19.6 31.6 26.1 10.8 3.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Megan Beaver 13.4 0.1 0.6 2.6 8.9 27.5 25.3 17.8 9.5 4.4 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1